Premier League relegation battle: Who will stay up?

With just 12 games left in the season, Sheffield United and Burnley appear doomed, 11 points from safety in the Premier League.

However, who else runs the risk of being demoted to the Championship? Which teams will continue to play?

Eight points separate 18th-placed Luton from the five teams directly above them, who are Nottingham Forest, Brentford, Everton, Bournemouth, and Crystal Palace. It appears to be a one-from-six situation.

But it’s complicated…

Following charges for suspected breaches in their 2022–2023 accounts in January, Everton and Forest are both facing nervous waits.

Forest’s case is scheduled to be heard on March 7 and 8.

Should it be discovered that they violated the regulations, they will lose points. An appeal could be filed against the decision, which is not anticipated until April.

If there is an appeal, the process might continue until May 24, which is one week after the season ends on May 19.

Everton received a 10-point deduction in November for violating the profit and sustainability regulations (PSR) for the three-year term ending in 2021–2022.

After an appeal, the punishment was lowered to six points.

Premier League table as of 1 March
Team Played Points GD Form (last 5 games)
13. Crystal Palace 26 28 -13 WLLDW
14. Bournemouth 25 28 -14 DDLDL
15. Everton 26 25 -6 DDLDD
16. Brentford 26 25 -11 LWLLL
17. Nottingham Forest 26 24 -14 LDLWL
18. Luton Town 25 20 -16 WDLLL
19. Burnley 26 13 -33 LDLLL
20. Sheffield United 26 13 -44 LLWLL

The run-in

Crystal Palace: 2 March v Tottenham (away); 9 March v Luton (home); 30 March v Nott’m Forest (away); 2 April v Bournemouth (away); 6 April v Man City (home); 14 April v Liverpool (away); 20 April v West Ham (home); 27 April v Fulham (away); 4 May v Man Utd (home); 11 May v Wolves (away); 19 May v Aston Villa (home); TBC v Newcastle (home).

Bournemouth: 3 March v Burnley (away); 9 March v Sheff Utd (home); 13 March v Luton (home); 16 March v Wolves (away); 30 March v Everton (home); 2 April v Crystal Palace (home); 6 April v Luton (away); 14 April v Man Utd (home); 20 April v Aston Villa (away); 27 April v Brighton (home); 4 May v Arsenal (away); 11 May v Brentford (home); 19 May v Chelsea (away).

Everton: 2 March v West Ham (home); 9 March v Man Utd away); 17 March v Liverpool (home); 30 March v Bournemouth (away); 2 April v Newcastle (away); 6 April v Burnley (home); 15 April v Chelsea (away); 20 April v Nott’m Forest (home); 27 April v Brentford (home); 4 May v Luton (away); 11 May v Sheff Utd (home); 19 May v Arsenal (away).

Brentford: 2 March v Chelsea (home); 9 March v Arsenal (away); 16 March v Burnley (away); 30 March v Man Utd (home); 3 April v Brighton (home); 6 April v Aston Villa (away); 13 April v Sheff Utd (home); 20 April v Luton (away); 27 April v Everton (away); 4 May v Fulham (home); 11 May v Bournemouth (away); 19 May v Newcastle (home).

Nottingham Forest: 2 March v Liverpool (home); 10 March v Brighton (away); 16 March v Luton (away); 30 March v Crystal Palace (home); 2 April v Fulham (home); 8 April v Tottenham (away); 13 April v Wolves (home); 20 April v Everton (away); 27 April v Man City (home); 4 May v Sheff Utd (away); 11 May v Chelsea (home); 19 May v Burnley (away).

Luton Town: 2 March v Aston Villa (home); 9 March v Crystal Palace (away); 13 March v Bournemouth (away); 16 March v Nott’m Forest (home); 30 March v Tottenham (away); 3 April v Arsenal (away); 6 April v Bournemouth (home); 13 April v Man City (away); 20 April v Brentford (home); 27 April v Wolves (away); 4 May v Everton (home); 11 May v West Ham (away); 19 May v Fulham (home).

Burnley: 3 March v Bournemouth (home); 10 March v West Ham (away); 16 March v Brentford (home); 30 March v Chelsea (away); 2 April v Wolves (home); 6 April v Everton (away); 13 April v Brighton (home); 20 April v Sheff Utd (away); 27 April v Man Utd (away); 4 May v Newcastle (home); 11 May v Tottenham (away); 19 May v Nott’m Forest (home).

Sheffield United: 4 March v Arsenal (home); 9 March v Bournemouth (away); 16 March v Man Utd (away); 30 March v Fulham (home); 4 April v Liverpool (away); 7 April v Chelsea (home); 13 April v Brentford (away); 20 April v Burnley (home); 27 April v Newcastle (away); 4 May v Nott’m Forest (home); 11 May v Everton (away); 19 May v Tottenham (home).

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